As traders prepared for a potentially good nonfarm payrolls
number later in the day, the dollar hovered around its best level in more than
two years, while most Asian currencies declined on Friday.
Weak inflation data from China further damaged regional
morale, and traders conjectured about a possible interest rate hike by the Bank
of Japan, which only temporarily supported the yen.
Due to a U.S. market holiday, the dollar did not move much
during overnight trading. However, after the Federal Reserve issued hawkish
signals earlier this week, the dollar stayed positive.
Dollar steady near 2-yr high as nonfarm payrolls loom
Following a minor firming in Asian trade, the dollar index
and dollar index futures were barely below its highest points since November
2022.
Nonfarm payrolls data for December, which was anticipated later on Friday, was
the main focus because it provided additional clues about interest rates and
the U.S. economy.
The Fed's December meeting minutes, which were made public
on Wednesday, supported the dollar by restating the central bank's caution that
interest rates will decline more slowly this year.
The minutes also revealed that policymakers were worried about Trump's
expansionary and protectionist plans, which might eventually fuel inflation.
Japanese yen weakens despite strong spending data
The USDJPY pair increased 0.2% and held above the 158 yen
barrier on Friday as the Japanese yen retreated its gains from Thursday.
Given that data issued on Thursday revealed a
larger-than-expected increase in wage growth, Friday's stronger-than-expected
household expenditure data heightened expectations of a January interest rate
hike by the Bank of Japan.
In the upcoming months, analysts anticipate that the BOJ
will raise interest rates more frequently, possibly as early as its
late-January meeting, due to a positive cycle of rising wages, stable
inflation, and improving private consumption.
However, this idea only provided short-term support for the yen as it was
pushed by the expectation of higher longer-term U.S. interest rates.
Broader Asian currencies declined on Friday on a similar
notion,
Following dismal inflation figures for December, the Chinese
yuan's USDCNY pair increased by 0.3%, indicating the currency's ongoing
decline. Another factor that dampened opinion against China was the possibility
of trade tariffs under Trump.
Bets on quicker interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank were
bolstered by mixed inflation data earlier in the week, which caused the
Australian dollar's AUDUSD pair to drop 0.2% and approach a two-year low.
Amid ongoing political unrest in the nation, the South
Korean won's USDKRW pair increased by 0.4%, while the Singapore dollar's USDSGD
pair increased by 0.1%.
The USDINR exchange rate for the Indian rupee remained below the 86 rupee mark.

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