Reuters, Tokyo A government survey released on Tuesday
revealed that although confidence in Japan's service sector improved in
December, businesses anticipate a deteriorating future, indicating that growing
living expenses were having an impact on household spending.
Separate data revealed that rising raw material costs and a
worsening labor shortage contributed to a decade-high number of company
bankruptcy cases last year, underscoring the impact of growing inflation on
Japan's corporate sector.
Many observers anticipate that the Bank of Japan will
increase interest rates from the current 0.25% during its two-day policy
meeting, which ends on January 24.
As Japan's wage outlook continues to improve, BOJ Deputy
Governor Ryozo Himino announced on Tuesday that the central bank will discuss
whether to hike interest rates next week.
He stated during a news briefing that "the likelihood
of Japan's economy moving in line with our projection is heightening
gradually."
According to the government's "economy watchers"
poll, an index that gauges confidence among service-sector businesses, such as
restaurants and taxi drivers, was 49.9 in December, up 0.5 points from the
previous month in a second consecutive month of gains.
However, as rising fuel and food costs put pressure on consumption, a measure
of businesses' optimism about the economy dropped 0.6 points to 48.8, according
to the survey.
Because the questioned enterprises are near to consumers,
the "economy watchers" survey is closely watched by markets as a
leading predictor of household spending and the overall economy.
According to a different poll conducted by the private think
tank Teikoku Databank and published on Tuesday, the number of business
bankruptcy cases in 2024 reached 9,901, the highest number since 2014 and up
16.5% from the year before.
With consumption up a weak 0.7%, Japan's GDP grew by 1.2%
annually in the three months ending in September, dropping from the 2.2% growth
in the previous quarter.
Due in part to growing import costs brought on by a weakening yen, core
inflation has been above the BOJ's 2% target for almost three years.
Policymakers hope that workers' regular pay, which recently
has been rising at an annual pace of 2.5% to 3%, keeps increasing and supports
consumption. While rising wages would underpin consumption, they would squeeze
smaller firms that are unable to earn enough profits to retain workers via pay
hikes.
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